Match 74 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-29 · 16:30 EDT local · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
Germany
Winner Group E vs 3rd of A/B/C/D/F · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Germany win
58%
Draw
24%
Scotland win
18%
Elo
1932·1782
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Germany, columns Scotland. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |