Match 77 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-30 · 17:00 EDT local · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
France
Winner Group I vs 3rd of C/D/F/G/H · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 15% chance.
France win
76%
Draw
17%
Iran win
7%
Elo
2063·1772
Scoreline probabilities
Rows France, columns Iran. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 14.8 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 11.4 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |