Match 79 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-30 · 19:00 CST local · Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Mexico
Winner Group A vs 3rd of C/E/F/H/I · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Mexico win
65%
Draw
22%
Ivory Coast win
13%
Elo
1875·1695
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Mexico, columns Ivory Coast. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.6 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |