Match 80 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-01 · 12:00 EDT local · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
England
Winner Group L vs 3rd of E/H/I/J/K · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
England win
58%
Draw
24%
Senegal win
17%
Elo
2021·1860
Scoreline probabilities
Rows England, columns Senegal. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 11.5 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.1 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |