Match 81 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-01 · 17:00 PDT local · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara
Winner Group D vs 3rd of B/E/F/I/J · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Turkey win
69%
Draw
20%
Bosnia and Herzegovina win
11%
Elo
1911·1595
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Turkey, columns Bosnia and Herzegovina. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 13.3 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |