Match 83 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-02 · 19:00 EDT local · BMO Field, Toronto
Colombia
Runner-up Group K vs Runner-up Group L · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Colombia win
45%
Draw
28%
Croatia win
28%
Elo
1982·1912
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Colombia, columns Croatia. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.7 | 13.2 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |