Match 86 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-03 · 18:00 EDT local · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Argentina
Winner Group J vs Runner-up Group H · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Argentina win
62%
Draw
23%
Uruguay win
15%
Elo
2114·1892
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Argentina, columns Uruguay. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.9 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.8 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |