Match 87 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-03 · 20:30 CDT local · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Portugal
Winner Group K vs 3rd of D/E/I/J/L · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Portugal win
61%
Draw
23%
Paraguay win
16%
Elo
1986·1834
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Portugal, columns Paraguay. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |