Match 88 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-03 · 13:00 CDT local · AT&T Stadium, Arlington
United States
Runner-up Group D vs Runner-up Group G · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
United States win
54%
Draw
25%
Egypt win
20%
Elo
1726·1696
Scoreline probabilities
Rows United States, columns Egypt. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.4 | 12.1 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.2 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |