Match 89 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-04 · 17:00 EDT local · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Germany
Winner Match 74 vs Winner Match 77 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Germany win
23%
Draw
26%
France win
51%
Elo
1932·2063
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Germany, columns France. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 6.7 | 12.6 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |