Match 9 · Group E · 2026-06-14 · 19:00 EDT local · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Ivory Coast
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 9% chance.
Ivory Coast win
22%
Draw
30%
Ecuador win
48%
Elo
1695·1938
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Ivory Coast, columns Ecuador. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 14.1 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |