Match 91 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-05 · 16:00 EDT local · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Brazil
Winner Match 76 vs Winner Match 78 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Brazil win
47%
Draw
27%
Norway win
26%
Elo
1991·1914
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Brazil, columns Norway. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |