Match 92 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-05 · 18:00 CST local · Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Mexico
Winner Match 79 vs Winner Match 80 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
Mexico win
26%
Draw
27%
England win
46%
Elo
1875·2021
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Mexico, columns England. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 10.8 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 13.0 | 9.2 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |