Match 93 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-06 · 14:00 CDT local · AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Colombia
Winner Match 83 vs Winner Match 84 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 12% chance.
Colombia win
18%
Draw
24%
Spain win
58%
Elo
1982·2157
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Colombia, columns Spain. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 11.7 | 11.1 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 11.5 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |