Match 94 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-06 · 17:00 PDT local · Lumen Field, Seattle
Winner Match 81 vs Winner Match 82 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 10% chance.
Turkey win
34%
Draw
29%
Belgium win
37%
Elo
1911·1894
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Turkey, columns Belgium. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 9.9 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 13.7 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |