Match 95 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-07 · 12:00 EDT local · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Argentina
Winner Match 86 vs Winner Match 88 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Argentina win
66%
Draw
21%
United States win
13%
Elo
2114·1726
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Argentina, columns United States. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.7 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |