Match 97 · Quarter-final · 2026-07-09 · 16:00 EDT local · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
France
Winner Match 89 vs Winner Match 90 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 11% chance.
France win
51%
Draw
26%
Netherlands win
23%
Elo
2063·1948
Scoreline probabilities
Rows France, columns Netherlands. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.2 | 12.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |