Match 98 · Quarter-final · 2026-07-10 · 12:00 PDT local · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Spain
Winner Match 93 vs Winner Match 94 · pairing projected, not confirmed
Model pick — most probable exact scoreline, 13% chance.
Spain win
66%
Draw
22%
Belgium win
13%
Elo
2157·1894
Scoreline probabilities
Rows Spain, columns Belgium. Darker is more likely.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.6 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |